What is compound annual growth rate (CAGR)?
CAGR stands for compound annual growth rate.
It answers the question:
“If my investment grew at a steady rate each year, what rate would
produce the same starting and ending values over this time period?”
CAGR smooths out the bumps of year-to-year volatility and gives you a single
number that summarizes the overall growth trend.
The CAGR formula
The basic formula for CAGR is:
CAGR = (Ending value ÷ Starting value)^(1 ÷ t) − 1
t = time in years between the starting and ending values
For example, if an investment grows from 10,000 to 16,500 over 5 years, then:
CAGR = (16,500 ÷ 10,000)^(1 ÷ 5) − 1
= 1.65^(0.2) − 1
≈ 1.1055 − 1
≈ 0.1055 = 10.55% per year (approx)
This means your investment effectively grew at about 10.55% per year, even if
some individual years were higher or lower.
Using months in the CAGR calculation
CAGR formulas expect time in years. If you have months, convert them into a
fraction of a year. The calculator does this automatically:
t = years + (months ÷ 12)
That way, a period of 3 years and 6 months becomes 3.5 years in the
calculation.
CAGR vs average annual return
A common mistake is to just average yearly returns. This can be misleading,
especially when returns are volatile.
-
CAGR uses only the starting value, ending value and total
time. It correctly reflects compounding and the path from A to B.
-
A simple average of yearly returns ignores how bad years
hurt more when you’ve already grown a lot.
That’s why professionals use CAGR as a cleaner way to compare different
investments or growth trends.
Where CAGR is commonly used
| Use case |
What grows |
Why CAGR helps |
| Investment performance |
Portfolio value |
Summarizes uneven yearly returns as a single annual rate. |
| Business KPIs |
Revenue, profit, users |
Shows long-term trend without being distracted by short-term noise. |
| Start-up growth |
MRR, ARR, active users |
Makes it easy to benchmark against targets and peers. |
| Market size |
Industry revenue over time |
Summarizes multi-year expansion as an annual growth rate. |
| Personal goals |
Net worth, savings, income |
Shows how quickly you’re progressing towards financial goals. |
Limitations of CAGR
-
Hides volatility. CAGR doesn’t show how bumpy the ride was;
two investments can have identical CAGR but very different risk.
-
Ignores cash flows. It assumes one starting value and one
ending value. If you add or withdraw money in between, you need internal
rate of return (IRR) instead.
-
Sensitive to start and end dates. Changing the period by a
year or two can materially change the CAGR.
Frequently asked questions
Can CAGR be used for negative values?
CAGR is designed for positive starting and ending values. If either value is
negative, the standard formula breaks down or produces complex numbers. In
those cases, consider using a different measure or transforming the data.
What does a negative CAGR mean?
A negative CAGR simply means the ending value is lower than the starting
value. For example, a −5% CAGR over 3 years means the value shrank, on
average, by about 5% per year.
Is CAGR the same as IRR?
No. CAGR assumes a single initial value and a single ending value with no
cash flows in between. IRR (internal rate of return) handles multiple inflows
and outflows over time and is more suitable for detailed project or
investment analysis.
How many years do I need for a meaningful CAGR?
The longer the time period, the more stable and meaningful the CAGR becomes.
A one-year “CAGR” is just the one-year return; multi-year periods give a more
useful long-term growth view.